Mid-Oct00.zip

Field dates: October 18–22, 2000. Focus: Voter turnout modeling, likely voter identification, presidential preference.

Likely Voter Scale (LVS):

Built from five recoded indicators (lvs01–lvs05) based on interest, voting history, registration, and intention.

Respondents excluded (set to 0) if:

Did not express intent to vote (q17=2).

Failed registration checks (q4>1 or q4a>1).

Final variable: lvs = lvs01 + lvs02 + lvs03 + lvs04 + lvs05 (range: 0–5).

Temporary components (lvs01–lvs05) were dropped after computation.

Turnout assumption:

Reporting assumes 50% turnout of the national sample.

Rule:

All respondents scoring 5 on the scale are included.

A weighted portion of those scoring 4 are included.

Scores 0–3 are excluded (weight = 0).

Example adjustment (from dataset):

40% scored 5, 17% scored 4 → Need 10% more from category 4.

Weight for category 4 respondents: multiplied by 0.5822 (10 ÷ 17).

Category 5: assigned standard survey weight.

Categories 0–3: excluded.